


The Powerball Jackpot is $1.4 Billion – Is it Irrational to Play?
Someone has to win the 1.4 billion dollar Powerball jackpot, right? Did you buy a Powerball Lottery ticket? With a jackpot of 1.4 billion dollars for tomorrow’s Powerball Lottery drawing, record numbers of people are frenetically purchasing record numbers of...
Three Reasons We Are Still Making So Many Decision Errors
It is estimated that the volume of knowledge is doubling at least every 8 years. This rate of expansion overwhelms our capacity to stay abreast of emerging knowledge, even in the ever-narrowing micro-specialization of medical practice. New careers are created...
How to Never Be Wrong
My last post discussed how the building blocks of expertise and experience – stored memory collections of events and ideas – are the repository from which we make diagnostic and therapeutic decisions. Now, let’s consider three key strategies that may...
Analysis of Decision Factors in a Perioperative Error
With the leisure of hindsight, it is easy to tear apart case reports, and identify the single most glaring mistake that is simply responsible for the poor outcome. However, one undeniable truth in safety culture and human error is that “try harder” or...